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Key Points:
During the month of May, the MSCI AC World Index lost a hefty 4.9% (in RM terms) as Greece's exit from the Eurozone was the topic-of-the-month, ahead of Greek elections on 17 June 2012. And this is against the backdrop of soft global economic data, including data coming from the US. Meanwhile, the possibility of the Federal Reserve embarking on QE3 sooner rather than later has been revived. Consensus estimates on Bloomberg for US and Europe's 2012 real economic growth remain unchanged at 2.3% and -0.4% respectively (as of 4 June 2012). Among the top performers in May were Malaysia, Taiwan and gold equities as the FTSE Bursa Malaysia KLCI, Taiwan TAIEX and FTSE Gold Mines indices returned 0.6%, -0.2% and -0.6% respectively (all in RM terms). The FSMI - All Equity index shed 2.3% month-on-month in the worst month of 2012 thus far.
Domestic Safe Haven For Malaysian Investors Malaysian large caps (as represented by the FTSE Bursa Malaysia KLCI) were very well shielded from external headwinds mainly originating in the Eurozone. However, small caps were not spared as the benchmark FTSE Bursa Malaysia Small Cap Index lost 4.4% in May. The top 5 funds in table 2 held mostly large cap stocks in the oil & gas and financial sector, save for the Alliance Optimal Income Fund which is diversified into Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) and fixed income securities as well. On the currency exchange front in the month of May 2012, the RM strengthened against the Aussie dollar and euro by 2.1% and 1.6% respectively while at the same time weakened against the US dollar, renminbi and Indonesia rupiah by 4.6%, 3.7% and 1.8%. On a year-to-date basis, the RM has strengthened against the Indian rupee, Aussie dollar, Indonesian rupiah by 5.6%, 4.4%, and 4.4% respectively as of end-May 2012.
Dropping Like A BRIC Although May was a very weak month for equities globally, commodities-based economies such as Brazil, Russia and Australia took the brunt of the volatility in equities. The Russian RTS, Brazil Bovespa and S&P/ASX200 lost 18.3%, 13.1% and 9.1% respectively during the month. The commodities that took the largest price hit were crude oil, iron ore and steel products, and agricultural products such as soybean, cotton and crude palm oil. All the bottom 5 funds in table 3 were heavily exposed to companies that extract or produce such commodities.
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